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Threat Profile

Deforestation

The loss and degradation of forest ecosystems — now happening faster, and more permanently, than at any point on record.

Published May 2026 Last reviewed July 2026 Evidence level Very strong Reading time 7 min

Overview

Deforestation is the clearing, conversion or degradation of forest land, most consequentially in the tropics, where forests hold the greatest concentration of biodiversity and stored carbon. Only about a third of the world's remaining forests are still primary — old-growth, structurally intact — and that share keeps shrinking.

Established fact

In 2024, the tropics lost 6.7 million hectares of primary rainforest — the highest annual total on record, an 80% increase over 2023.

Source: Global Forest Watch; World Resources Institute, 2025

For the first time on record, wildfire — not agriculture directly — was the single largest driver of tropical primary forest loss in 2024, accounting for close to half of the destruction, as fire regimes shift under a warming climate.

Established fact

One-third of all global forest lost between 2001 and 2024 is considered permanent — in tropical primary rainforest specifically, 61% of loss is tied to permanent land-use change rather than temporary disturbance.

Source: World Resources Institute, 2025

What's Driving It

Fire's recent surge doesn't erase the underlying, longer-running driver: agriculture. Between 90% and 99% of all tropical deforestation is linked directly or indirectly to farming — overwhelmingly concentrated in three commodities.

Cattle pasture
~41%
Soy
Major
Palm oil
Major
Wildfire (2024)
~50%

Figures describe share of tropical deforestation/loss attributed to each driver in recent assessments; drivers overlap and are not mutually exclusive. Source: Our World in Data; Global Forest Watch, 2025.

Established fact

Cattle pasture expansion alone accounts for roughly 41% of tropical deforestation — about 2.1 million hectares per year — making it the single largest driver worldwide.

Source: Our World in Data, 2025

Documented Impacts

Habitat and species lossForest clearing directly removes habitat for the species that depend on it, and fragments what remains — a core link to the Habitat Loss and Wildlife profiles on this platform.
Carbon releaseStanding forests store carbon accumulated over centuries; clearing and burning releases much of it, feeding back into the climate pressures covered in our Climate Change profile.
Water cycle disruptionForests regulate regional rainfall and river flow; large-scale loss has been linked to reduced precipitation and increased flood and drought variability downstream.
Editorial analysis

Permanent loss is the more consequential figure here, and the one most easily missed. Annual loss totals capture area cleared in a given year, but they don't distinguish forest that will regenerate from forest converted permanently to pasture or cropland — the latter is what drives long-term biodiversity and carbon decline, and it's the number policy should be judged against.

Regulatory Status

Policy responses exist, but implementation has repeatedly slipped — worth tracking as a live situation.

2023The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) is adopted, requiring companies to prove products such as beef, soy, palm oil, timber and cocoa are deforestation-free before entering the EU market.
2024–25EUDR application is postponed twice — first from December 2024 to December 2025 — amid industry pressure over compliance readiness.
Dec 2025A further, targeted revision postpones large-operator obligations to 30 December 2026 (mid-2027 for small enterprises), while simplifying due-diligence requirements.
2026Global deforestation still runs an estimated 63% above the rate needed to meet 2030 zero-deforestation commitments; this page will be updated as enforcement develops.

Uncertainty & Evidence Gaps

Satellite-based measurement of tree cover loss is well established and high-confidence. Greater uncertainty surrounds attribution — separating fire, agriculture, logging and natural disturbance in any given cleared area — and long-term projections, such as estimates that up to 90% of some temperate rainforest types could be lost by 2100, which depend heavily on emissions and land-use assumptions that remain contested.